Curve smoothing in a covid pandemic 19
Curve smoothing in the covid pandemic 19 is a WHO public health strategy to slow the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 virus. It is currently used during the coronary virus pandemic 2019/20, as the best available strategy to slow down the spread of the virus. The graphic was developed by visual data journalist Rosamund Pearce, based on a graphic that appeared in an article by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention entitled Community Strategy for Flu Pandemic Mitigation in the United States in 2017.
Interpretation of the curve
The height of the curve is the number of potential cases in a country, while the time interval is shown along the horizontal "X" axis. The line in the middle represents a cross-section in which there are too many cases in too short a time, which overcomes the health system and requires appropriate measures. As the coronavirus continues to spread around the world, more and more companies are sending employees to work from home. Public schools are closing, universities are holding online classes, major events are being canceled, and cultural institutions are closing their doors. The disruption of everyday life is real and significant - but so are the potential life benefits of leveling the curve in the Kovid 19 pandemic. in order to slow down the spread of the virus, that is, not to get a huge jump in the number of patients at once. If that happened, there would not be enough hospital beds or mechanical fans for everyone who needed it, and the hospital system of one country would be overcrowded. This is already happening in Italy.
One of these two scenarios listed in the citation is presented through a graphical representation of curve flattening in a pandemic in which the U.S. hospital system becomes flooded with coronavirus patients. However, if the pandemic is monitored through this graph, the spread of the virus can be delayed so that new cases do not appear all at once, but over a week or more, even months. The system can then be adapted and accepted by all people who are likely to become ill and / or may need hospital care.
Coronavirus: What is 'flattening the curve,' and will it work? (language: English)